Did a little @puffpaw_xyz analytics last night, sharing some findings, starting with the obvious: - You should always recast from Tier 1 as the cost is lowest and odds are unchanged - Odds of hitting each subsequent Tier is ~roughly half of the Tier before it - Expected Days to breakeven increase as you get higher up in the Tiers, largely due to the decreased odds of hitting. This is of course variable based on how lucky (or unlucky) you are - The highest breakeven vs Expected Cost in preVAPE (Tier 12) requires ~205 days of Max Puffs to recoup all your prevape. The biggest takeaway is that comparing the expected cost of hitting a specific Tier via recasting vs the max preVAPE per day shows two clear breakpoints at Tier 7 (1.61x Tier 6) and Tier 9 (1.65x Tier 8). Interestingly, even if you're at Tier 6/8 and you want Tier 7/9+, you're actually still better off recasting back to Tier 1 and then trying to hit higher, as the Upgrade Cost of each (24,000/90,000) is actually higher than the Expected Cost of hitting that Tier of higher through recasting (19,000/79,000).
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